Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 1.797109 2.055104 2.338560 2.673345 3.058290 3.487449 4.002761
2025-08-24 1.423248 1.760005 2.160878 2.674243 3.315728 4.092836 5.108735
2025-08-31 1.151588 1.520761 1.990909 2.635734 3.500695 4.625852 6.208755
2025-09-07 1.013380 1.417483 1.963524 2.759183 3.895759 5.471112 7.838153
2025-09-14 0.887731 1.306026 1.901475 2.816832 4.199486 6.227493 9.459919
2025-09-21 0.769970 1.184626 1.802856 2.799723 4.382720 6.825786 10.933079
2025-09-28 0.655997 1.050368 1.663172 2.694531 4.407703 7.176004 12.060791
2025-10-05 0.611395 1.016913 1.672413 2.821863 4.815639 8.183392 14.411079
2025-10-12 0.574472 0.989912 1.686602 2.956073 5.249209 9.287518 17.093105
2025-10-19 0.530743 0.944878 1.663360 3.019904 5.564435 10.222903 19.607586
2025-10-26 0.490456 0.900248 1.634204 3.067100 5.852149 11.141791 22.225035
2025-11-02 0.438497 0.827651 1.545242 2.989825 5.890890 11.590671 23.975138
2025-11-09 0.382376 0.741903 1.424241 2.840299 5.778037 11.748031 25.199551
2025-11-16 0.347971 0.694033 1.370053 2.816545 5.917263 12.436851 27.677175
2025-11-23 0.314572 0.644073 1.305658 2.763123 5.986627 12.989250 29.947758
2025-11-30 0.302064 0.635296 1.323493 2.885734 6.454242 14.472364 34.615205
2025-12-07 0.284556 0.613774 1.311950 2.942333 6.781852 15.689316 38.860194
2025-12-14 0.262455 0.579609 1.269087 2.922432 6.929214 16.508890 42.262305
2025-12-21 0.235782 0.532152 1.191368 2.811428 6.843277 16.756439 44.236493
2025-12-28 0.229225 0.529681 1.214780 2.943957 7.373675 18.602706 50.792705
2026-01-04 0.223351 0.528069 1.239890 3.083908 7.943429 20.636277 58.243221
2026-01-11 0.213160 0.514921 1.236028 3.150446 8.331970 22.254193 64.813869
2026-01-18 0.202729 0.499968 1.225996 3.199678 8.681461 23.820296 71.528548